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Research Spotlight · Biomaterials Informatics

A faster way to read the long-term chemistry of calcium silicate cements

A material-informatics model uses early pH readings — at 3 and 24 hours — to forecast how a calcium silicate cement's alkalinity evolves over 28 days, shortening biomaterials screening.

Material Informatics Calcium Silicate Cements Endodontic Biomaterials AI-assisted Screening

Fast facts

Methodology
  • Literature dataset of pH and Ca²⁺-release data from in-vitro studies (2014–2024).
  • Inputs: early pH at 3 h and 24 h, plus specimen surface area.
  • Predictions validated on commercial and experimental cements.
Key findings
  • Early pH carried enough information to estimate long-term alkalinity.
  • pH at 72, 168 and 672 h predicted with strong agreement.
  • Robust across cement systems and specimen sizes.
Research impact
  • A shorter feedback loop for biomaterials screening.
  • Less reliance on repeated 28-day pH testing.
  • Refine and compare formulations earlier in development.
3
Early clues: pH 3 h · pH 24 h · surface area
672 h
Long-term pH forecast from early data
7
Cements validated (4 commercial + 3 experimental)
≈96%
Less testing time (and ~60% fewer specimens)
The problem

pH matters — but waiting for the full profile slows materials development

Calcium silicate cements are widely used in endodontic procedures because their chemistry helps shape a bioactive local environment. As they hydrate, they release calcium and hydroxyl ions, raising the pH around the material and supporting mineral-related repair.

But this alkalinity is not a simple endpoint. It changes over time, depends on composition and specimen geometry, and shapes how surrounding cells respond: too little alkalinity may limit bioactivity, while excessive or prolonged alkalinity may stress cells.

For researchers developing new formulations this is a bottleneck: pH profiling needs repeated measurements across days or weeks — slower feedback, more specimens, and delayed decisions about which materials are worth refining.

A real cement specimen measured early with a pH probe; the early pH curve passes through a machine-learning model (boosted trees and a neural network) and emerges as a predicted long-term pH curve to 672 hours.
Fig. 1 — Early pH readings plus specimen surface area, fed to a machine-learning model, forecast a cement's long-term alkalinity up to 672 h — a shorter feedback loop for screening. The model guides which materials deserve longer testing; it does not replace experimental validation.
The study

Learned from published data, then tested against new cements

The team built a dataset from in-vitro calcium silicate cement studies in the literature — pH, calcium-ion release, specimen geometry and testing conditions. Rather than feeding the model every variable, they let it find the most informative early predictors; three stood out: pH at 3 h, pH at 24 h and specimen surface area.

Those early signals were used to estimate pH at 72, 168 and 672 h. Crucially, the model was not left on paper: it was validated experimentally against four commercial and three experimental cements, cast at different sizes and measured in the lab — so the forecast was checked against real data, not only the training set.

Those three signals proved far more informative than calcium-ion release alone, which by itself did not reliably track long-term pH — early alkalinity and specimen geometry, not ion release, carried the predictive weight.

The shift

pH testing becomes a trajectory that can be forecast early — not a profile that must always be fully measured before decisions are made.

Video — How early pH readings forecast a cement's full 28-day alkalinity, turning weeks of testing into hours.
The results

Early readings predicted long-term alkalinity with strong agreement

The model estimated pH at 72, 168 and 672 h with strong predictive performance. Agreement held even at the longest timepoint, although later pH is harder to predict because cement hydration and ion release keep evolving.

In the experimental validation, predicted and measured pH were closely aligned across commercial and experimental cements, and a residual analysis showed no systematic bias — the model was not consistently over- or under-estimating pH.

The practical meaning is direct: early pH data can reveal long-term chemical behavior before the full 28-day window is complete.

Why it matters

A workflow advance for biomaterials development

This is not simply about predicting a number. It shows how material informatics can make biomaterials development more efficient by shortening the time between formulation, testing and refinement.

For calcium silicate cements that matters because formulation changes alter hydration, ion release and alkalinity. A faster readout of long-term pH lets researchers screen more candidates, reduce repetitive testing and focus resources on the most promising materials — AI-assisted research that begins by making lab development faster and more comparable.

How to cite

Sabino CF, Grymak A, Silikas N, Rosa V. pH prediction in commercial and experimental calcium silicate cements via material informatics. Dental Materials. 2025. doi:10.1016/j.dental.2025.08.018

Read full paper → Download .RIS (EndNote)